GavinFloyd

AL Central SP Projections

My method of projecting numbers for Starting Pitching is time consuming. The plan of action starts out with processing information available in a player’s Pitching/FX page. Then it’s onto the four pieces of paper; one for calculating FIP and my improved version of the ERA forecaster, a second for calculating HR allowed and Hits allowed, another for chicken scratch and the last for recording all relevant information. I find the Pitch/FX tool to be far more useful than Pitch Values, which can be a flawed statistic. Anyway, onto the majority of AL Central SP.

Minnesota Twins

Francisco Liriano 200 IP, 208 K, 1.22 WHIP, 3.02 ERA, 18 W
Scott Baker 180 IP, 154 K, 1.26 WHIP, 3.90 ERA, 14 W
Kevin Slowey 140 IP, 112 K, 1.22 WHIP, 3.86 ERA, 10 W
Carl Pavano 210 IP, 113 K, 1.26 WHIP, 4.07 ERA, 14 W

Detroit Tigers

Justin Verlander 220 IP, 218 K, 1.17 WHIP, 3.15 ERA, 19 W
Max Scherzer 200 IP, 188 K, 1.26 WHIP, 3.78 ERA, 14 W
Rick Porcello 195 IP, 115 K, 1.25 WHIP, 3.92 ERA, 14 W
Phil Coke 190 IP, 143 K, 1.34 WHIP, 4.17 ERA, 12 W
Brad Penny 155 IP, 101 K, 1.34 WHIP, 3.77 ERA, 12 W

Chicago White Sox

John Danks 205 IP, 159 K, 1.24 WHIP, 3.69 ERA, 15 W
Gavid Floyd 200 IP 162 K, 1.25 WHIP, 3.69 ERA, 15 W
Jake Peavy 175 IP, 149 K, 1.24 WHIP, 3.86 ERA, 12 W
Mark Buehrle 210 IP, 106 K, 1.33 WHIP, 4.33 ERA, 13 W
Edwin Jackson 210 IP, 186 K, 1.30 WHIP, 4.07 ERA, 14 W

Cleveland Indians

Fausto Carmona 210 IP, 130 K, 1.29 WHIP, 3.90 ERA, 13 W
Justin Masterson 190 IP, 151 K, 1.34 WHIP, 3.93 ERA, 12 W
Carlos Carrasco 200 IP, 164 K, 1.33 WHIP, 4.10 ERA, 12 W

Kansas City Royals

Luke Hochevar 160 IP, 120 K, 1.34 WHIP, 4.05 ERA, 10 W
Jeff Francis 150 IP, 95 K, 1.36 WHIP, 4.26 ERA, 8 W

If you were hoping to see Brian Duensing, Josh Tomlin, Mitch Talbot, Vin Mazzaro, Kyle Davies and/or Sean O’Sullivan, well, maybe later. I don’t think they’re worth the time right now.

 

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