travisSNIDER

Fantasy Baseball: Random Notes

Photo Credit: Tom Sullivan

Travis Snider (19%) is back! The Outfielder’s return was a successful one (3 for 5, 3 doubles, Run, 2 RBI). Snider cut down on the strikeouts while in AAA, his 15.9% K% was 9%-10% better than what he had previously posted in AAA (2008, 2009). The more aggressive base stealing continued too (7 SB – 0 CS). It’s not all good news though. Snider hit only two Home Runs (201 AB) while working on his stroke and his 13% LD% is… well it’s a 13% LD% (very bad). He was making more contact, but not better contact. Snider does have 20 HR power, the aggressive strategy on the base paths makes him an intriguing play. Your move.

More after the jump.

Eric Thames (7%), Snider’s team mate, is hitting .325 but his BABIP is sky high (.440 coming into today’s game). That number will fall 90-120 points if he’s given a full run of At Bats. Thames has power (30 HR in 2010), but the 30% K% is worrisome. His Batting Average would be .263 with an adjusted BABIP (.333).The season long forecast isn’t great, but he’s on fire right now. Thames is riding a 10-game hit streak (17 for 43, 3 HR) and has been hitting in the No. 2 slot lately.

Chris Carter (0%) is another recently called up, power-hitting Outfielder who has issues with the Strikeout. After sitting down three times against Michael Pineda and the Mariners, Carter’s K% is up to 42% through 19 At Bats. He had a 36.5% K% in AAA before his promotion. Ouch! Even AL-Only leaguers may want to avoid the power potential here (30.5 HR per season 2007-2010). Well, he should be rostered in AL-Only leagues, but I have a feeling this won’t be pretty.

Marlon Byrd has returned to the Cubs lineup (DL – facial fracture). He went 2 for 3 today with a walk, a Run scored and a RBI. If you need help in the Batting Average department Byrd is widely available (17 % owned). The minimal power/speed output from Byrd means he’s for deep leaguers only. I welcomed Marlon to my Blog Wars team (15 team, 5 OF setup).

Alex Presley (6%) went 3 for 4 today (RBI, SB), raising his AVG up to .364. Presley has enough power to hit 10 HR, enough speed to steal 20-25 bases over a full season. The BABIP is a wild card. It’s high now (.385), thanks to a high LD% (25% coming into today), but it’s been as low as .291 in the minors (as high as .385). My guess for his BABIP would be to settle around the .330 range and I’d project a .277 AVG. Presley should continue to hit atop the Pirates lineup until Tabata comes back (after the All-Star Break).

Brandon McCarthy (5%) made his return to the A’s rotation, he picked up where he left off: issuing few walks [6.2 IP, 4 H, 2 BB, 2 ER, 5 K vs SEA]. In McCarthy’s ten games this season he hasn’t allowed more than two walks in any start. I wrote about McCarthy not too long ago [Green Scare]. You have my approval to add at will.

Rich Harden (11%) pitched well against Arizona on Friday [6 IP, 4 H, 0 BB, 2 ER, 6 K]. No walks, nice. Harden made two starts in AAA before his promotion [7.2 IP, 12 K, 3 BB]. The fastball velocity (average) is still below 91 mph so this isn’t your vintage Rich Harden (93-94 mph). They key here is the BB/9, if Harden can keep the walks down he should be a solid starter. Solid as in valid, I’m not saying he’s made of hard, durable material.

Vance Worley (14%) twirled a gem at Florida on Monday [7 IP, 2 H, 2 BB, 0 ER, 6 K]. Worley is sporting a strong 1.22 WHIP and 2.20 ERA. However, I’m not impressed with the K/9 (6.80) and BB/9 (3.67). Those numbers are pedestrian, below league average. Worley’s luck in BABIP (.259) and HR/FB% (3.6%) is keeping his numbers afloat. The Left On Base percentage is high too (79% vs 72% league average). The Phillies must feel the same way as I do because they sent him down to the minors after today’s game. Ouch.

Freddie Freeman (33%) provided the fireworks in Atlanta, he homered off both Ubaldo Jimenez and Matt Reynolds. That’s 11 HR (.273 AVG) on the season for the young Braves prospect. While Freeman isn’t expected to put up eye popping power totals he does have four HR in his past ten games. Hey, he’s better than Billy Butler (89%) thus far.

Charlie Furbush (2%) took the loss in his first MLB start, but the 5 K against 1 BB is something he can build upon. Chuck Fur lasted only 4.2 IP (66 pitches). Furbush still has some aspects of his game that need work. Peter Bourjos stole second and third base on him like it was nothing and Furbush was called for a balk. Still, there is promise here. Furbush had a 10.68 K/9 against a 2.72 BB/9 in 8 AAA starts before his call up. You’d think he’d be owned in more than 2% of Y! leagues based on his name alone.

That’s all for tonight folks – grease out – @andrewakamds

Happy Birthday America! Take time to celebrate by not paying your Federal Income Tax. It’s unconstitutional, it was never ratified by enough states. IRS agents cannot name the law that says you have to pay it. The govt. doesn’t get a cent of it anyway, fuck the foreign bankers! Revolt! [ex-IRS agent spills the beans]

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