Jair Jurrjens is ready to ruin teams like Jar Jar Binks ruined Star Wars. So naturally, I was a little relieved to read he has no structural damage in his shoulder. This is someone I plan on nominating (and avoiding) in auction drafts. Hopefully people will continue to draft Jair at his current ADP (MDC 137).
The News: [MLB Y! Sports]
Jair Jurrjens says he’ll be behind other Braves pitchers at the start of spring training as he works out stiffness in his right shoulder. He says he expects to be ready for the start of the season. An MRI on the shoulder this week revealed inflammation but no structural problems. Jurrjens says he’s happy with the results but says the shoulder is “really tight.” He says he’s doing a lot of stretching to try to regain flexibility in the shoulder. He says he hopes to start throwing in a week or two.
Jurrjens is popular among uninformed drafters b/c of his 2.60 ERA and 1.21 WHIP season at the age of 23 years. What they don’t realize is that Jair is just an ordinary pitcher who benefitted from good luck. His K Rate is average to below average. He posted a 6.36 K/9 in 2009 when the league average was 6.99 K/9. His WHIP will regress when his .273 BABIP isn’t as lucky. His ERA will climb when his 1.21 WHIP, 79.4% LOB% and 6.1% HR/FB normalize. So you have a guy who wont help you in any stat, he’s simply an innings eater with a possible bum shoulder. I have him projected to put up a 6.5 K/9, 1.32 WHIP, 3.83 ERA and have him buried so far in my SP ranks, it doesn’t even matter what number it is, he won’t be on my team.
If you draft Jair Jurrjens, picture him constantly asking you, “Is mesa shoulder gonna die?”