Mr. Werth Goes to Washington

The Nationals inked Jayson Werth to a 7-year, $126 million contract today. I could go on and on about how their money could have been better spent, but my concern has more to do with Jayson’s fantasy potential now that he is in Washington. Make the jump for a little chatter, a projection and a Jayson Werth-less joke or two.

The Good Werth hits Home Runs and steal bases.

The Bad Werth leaves Citizen’s Bank Park (advantage hitters) and a juicy lineup for a neutral field and stale lineup in Washington.

The Ugly The beard. Also, he might sleep with a teammate’s wife.

OK, so the Jennifer Utley rumor was more than likely just a rumor. Still, I think the cons outweigh the the pros here. In 2010, Werth hit 18 HR at home and 9 on the road. Because he’s staying in the NL East, Werth will now face the Phillies rotation 18 times and not face the Nationals rotation. Werth had a 1.217 OPS against the Nationals last season, he killed them. Werth is no spring chicken anymore, he’ll be 32-years old in May and has a history of injuries. Unless you think the aerodynamics of his beard were the culprit, we’ll have to agree that he is slowing down on the base paths as well. We’ll see how he reacts to being away from Davey Lopes (first base coach who signed with the Dodgers), whom he credits for helping him steal so many bases. There are a lot of factors working against Werth, we have to expect some regression.

2011 Projecion .264 AVG, 25 HR, 87 Runs, 85 RBI, 12 SB

All in all, I think Jayson Werth will be a useful fantasy OF, but I also think he will be overrated come draft day. All of us could use a player who hits 25 HR, steals 12 bases and gives us adequate run production, but we shouldn’t be paying high prices for that paired with a poor Batting Average. It’s probably too early to be discussing ADP, but the recent Mock Draft Central numbers have him going early in the fourth round. That’s way too aggressive for me. It’s very likely that I won’t be drafting Jayson this season, which is sad because I enjoyed naming a team after him: You Are Werth-less. It was a great team name because it was true, I had Jayson Werth and that made you and your team Werth-less. I guess now I may be able to use it without having him on my team.