2013 Rankings and Projections: Second Base


Only Josh Reddick will hit more fly balls than me. But he's a serial masturbator.
Photo: Red3biggs

While Robinson Cano sits atop all 2B cheat sheets, it is Ian Kinsler who has the most potential. Cano is a safe bet for greatness, but he has no chance of pushing a 30/30 season, which Kinsler has done twice since '09. Don't let the poor BA fool you, Ian makes plenty of contact (12.2 K% vs Cano's 11.8). Kinsler's poor BA is the result of his flyball tendencies. Kinsler is projected to hit nearly 75 more FBs than Cano (251 vs 177). For someone like Kinsler, playing in such a hitter's paradise, you would think his career best HR/FB would be higher than 12.5-percent. If he were to experience a "lucky" season like everyone does at some point, he could hit 40 HR (that is only a 15.9 HR/FB). Then there is the "lucky" BABIP. You can bet on a mediocre BA from Kinsler, but he is different than the strikeout-prone hitters with mediocre batting averages. Plus, I guarantee he will play 162 games. If he doesn't I'll refund your money times five. Did I just rank Ian Kinsler ahead of Robinson Cano? Check out the 2B rankings and projections after the jump:

Stats: AVG — HR — Runs — RBI – SB   (PA)

Robinson Cano         .315 —— 32 —— 105 —— 110 —— 4    (690)
Ian Kinsler           .276 —— 26 —— 105 —— 75 —— 24    (725)
Dustin Pedroia        .298 —— 17 —— 100 —— 90 —— 20    (700)
Aaron Hill            .296 —— 24 —— 90 —— 80 —— 15     (665)
Jason Kipnis          .268 —— 17 —— 90 —— 70 —— 25     (675)
Brandon Phillips      .278 —— 20 —— 95 —— 80 —— 15     (675)
Chase Utley           .280 —— 25 —— 100 —— 90 —— 15    (670)
Dan Uggla             .250 —— 30 —— 80 —— 85 —— 3      (625)
Jose Altuve           .292 —— 11 —— 90 —— 50 —— 30     (685)
Kyle Seager           .271 —— 18 —— 80 —— 85 —— 15     (650)
Rickie Weeks          .259 —— 24 —— 90 —— 65 —— 12     (670)
Neil Walker           .282 —— 17 —— 85 —— 70 —— 8      (640)
Howie Kendrick        .284 —— 11 —— 70 —— 75 —— 14     (595)
Dustin Ackley         .266 —— 14 —— 85 —— 55 —— 15     (685)
Danny Espinosa        .248 —— 19 —— 60 —— 65 —— 18     (600)

Emilio Bonifacio      .266 —— 4 —— 70 —— 35 —— 45      (585)
Daniel Murphy         .285 —— 10 —— 80 —— 50 —— 8      (635)
Jeff Keppinger        .285 —— 10 —— 80 —— 50 —— 1      (615)
Gordon Beckham        .250 —— 15 —— 65 —— 60 —— 7      (555)
Mark Ellis            .263 —— 12 —— 85 —— 55 —— 7      (650)
Matt Carpenter        .279 —— 9 —— 60 —— 60 —— 3       (500)
Jamey Carroll         .283 -— 2 —— 85 —— 40 —— 10      (620)
Brian Roberts         .269 —— 6 —— 55 —— 35 —— 20      (475)
Omar Infante          .279 —— 10 —— 55 —— 50 —— 10     (565)
Maicer Izturis        .273 —— 7 —— 60 —— 55 —— 15      (585)
Logan Forsythe        .254 —— 10 —— 80 —— 45 —— 10     (630)
Chris Nelson          .267 —— 14 —— 55 —— 55 —— 4      (515)
Kelly Johnson         .245 —— 14 —— 50 —— 50 —— 10     (450)
Darwin Barney         .277 —— 5 —— 60 —— 50 —— 7       (585)

Will Chase Utley log 670 Plate Appearances? No. But that is what he would do if he played inside a vacuum. You can slide him down the scale based on the letters you send him [Mac's letter]. Also, the Toronto situation is still unresolved so I threw two (Emilio Bonifacio and Maicer Izturis) projections in there, for your amusement. And finally, I did not bother with a projection for Jedd Gyorko. The Pads have no reason to not wait and delay his clock. I don't think Gyorko is the type of player you need to stash on your bench. You're stuck with the Forskyn for now.

More Rankings/Projections [C, 1B, SS, 3B, OF, SP, RP]

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