NFL Real Talk: Week Nine

Oh Hill yeah!
Photo Credit: Jeffrey Beall

This goddamn whore Hurricane Sandy is making things complicated. The bitch has forced me to put in work early on my Week Nine pieces, so excuse us for the lack of introductions. We are just gonna jump right into some Real Talk funk.

More after the jump:

-In desperate need of RB depth? Look no further than Ronnie Hillman. Willis McGahee’s backup carried the rock 14 times for 86 yards Sunday night, and finally looks ready to make like a hard-working porn star and carry the load (should anything happen to McGahee of course). While Hillman only had one reception (for negative yardage), it should be noted that he is a real asset in the passing game that hasn’t been fully utilized yet by Peyton Manning. Hillman is a much more versatile back than McGahee, so even if Willis holds up all year (not a guarantee considering his physical style of play), Hillman could still work his way into a 10-12 touch-per-week situation. Either way, it makes sense to roster him if you are lacking in the RB department.

Sell-ery (or, “These Guys Suck But Still Have Value, So Trade Them To Some Moron”)
1 – Shonn Greene
Greene has now had three productive games in a row, meaning that it’s time to get rid of him while he has some value. This Jets offense, although slightly better of late, is shit. Greene has just two games this year where he has averaged over four yards-per-carry. Simply put, his play for the remainder of the season will be better suited on the bench (or, even better, on your opponent’s roster).

2 – Jason Witten
He’s averaged 10.75 catches (not targets) over the last four games and has been huge for fantasy owners lately, but the time has come to part ways with the Dallas TE. Don’t forget that Witten’s performance was abysmal early in the season as concerns he was becoming a lesser part of the offense seemingly began to come to fruition. While his recent play has breathed new life into his fantasy value, he’s still the third best receiving option on his own team. He’s got the name value and the recent success to bring back a nice return, so this is a perfect time to put him out there.

Buy-sexuals (or, “You Should Want These Guys, But Only In A Platonic Way, Which Is Why They Are Called ‘BUY-sexuals’”)
1 – Golden Tate
It’s no secret that your boy Big Poppa Pockets is high on Tate (among other things). He’s been very inconsistent to date, but he possesses big-play ability and his performance should continue to improve as QB Russell Wilson progresses.

2 – Joique Bell
Mentioned many times here on SoR, this is simply a last call to acquire the services of Joique “Stringer” Bell. The main reason he’s a strong target is Mikel LeShoure’s health, but he’s also getting a ton of praise from the coaching staff. A runner who pushes on after first contact and can make plays out of the backfield, Bell can be an every-week starter in the near future.

3 – Jonathan Stewart
Though he hasn’t done much to date, Stewart is ready to blow (pause). He’s averaging a meager 3.5 YPC, but with DeAngelo Williams in the doghouse, Stewart is pretty much a feature back. With his talent, 15-17 touches a game should be enough for the very talented RB to do serious work. Trade for him ASAP, because once he goes off, there’s no looking back.

Matchup Macking (or, “I’ll Tell You Which Border-line Options To Play With The Help Of Matchup Analysis, And Also I’m A Charming Lad ‘Round The Ladies”)
Last week’s points-per-recommendation (Yahoo! standard scoring with .5 PPR)
QB = 14.24 points
RB = 0 points (no recommendations)
WR = 9.7 points
TE = 12.6 points

This season’s points-per-recommendation
QB = 17.66 points (three recommendations)
RB = 2.2 points (one recommendation)
WR = 6.67 points (three recommendations)
TE = 11.7 points (three recommendations)

1 – Russell Wilson vs. MIN
The Vikings don’t defend against the pass well and fail to generate a lot of turnovers. Wilson (who generally does a fine job of protecting the football) continues to get better every week. His numbers this year would be even better if he didn’t have to deal with so many key drops from his receivers, and this should be his best fantasy day yet.

2 – Ben Tate vs. BUF
Houston should demolish the Bills and get out to a controlling lead early, meaning plenty of garbage time for Tate to pile up the stats.

3 – Robert Meachem vs. KC
It’s about time Meachem did something for fantasy owners. The Chiefs have been vulnerable against deep-threat WRs all season. Meachem is amongst the most targeted deep threats in all of a football. That explains why he is so inconsistent, but the downfield targets should play nicely this week against Kansas City.

4 – Jermaine Gresham vs. DEN
The Broncos have been driven nuts by opposing TEs, particularly big athletic ones like Gresham. Expect those troubles to continue in Week Nine.

Matchup Slacking (or, “I’ll Tell You Which Border-line Options To Sit With The Help Of Matchup Analysis, And Also I’m A Charming Lad ‘Round The Ladies”)
Last week’s points-per-recommendation (Yahoo! standard scoring with .5 PPR)
QB = 0 points (no recommendations)
RB = 18.7 points
WR = 6.1 points
TE = 0 points (no recommendations)

This season’s points-per-recommendation
QB = 8.7 points (one recommendation)
RB = 14 points (two recommendations)
WR = 6.1 points (one recommendations)
TE = 0 points (no recommendations)

1 – Matt Schaub vs. BUF
Don’t get me wrong, the Bills suck and this isn’t a “tough” matchup for Schaub. However, the Bills are far worse against the run than they are against the pass. Houston will run all over the Bills and get out to a big lead early, meaning Schaub may only throw the ball 25 times in this contest.

2 –  Mikel LeShoure at JAC
Even if you dismiss the surging of Joique Bell, this game has “bust” written all over it for LeShoure. The Jaguars have played well against the run, but are very vulnerable against the pass. That means Matt Stafford should be in for a busy day as Detroit’s ground game takes a backseat. With fewer touches against a tough opponent, LeShoure will have trouble even generating flex value.

3 – Torrey Smith at CLE
When the Ravens and Browns met in Week Four, Smith had a productive day (six catches, 97 yards, TD), but was fortunate to not draw CB Joe Haden (who was serving a four-game suspension). Haden is back now, and should be all over Smith like chicks on my Star-boner.

4 –  Jermichael Finley vs. ARI
Though Finley declares that he’s 100-percent healthy now and able to run longer routes, that won’t help him much against a stout Cardinals defense. Arizona has allowed just one TE to go over 50 yards against them (and it was the league’s best: Rob Gronkowski).

Dropping Deuces (or “These Guys Are Bad, So Bad That One Can Refer To Them As ‘Shitty’”)
1 – Jacob Tamme
This is a reversal of opinions for me, because I believed all along that Tamme would eventually get better as Peyton Manning progressed. However, despite all the two-TE formations employed during training camp and the preseason, Manning is using a very different style than what we saw in Denver. Manning, wisely, is using his current weapons to his utmost advantage. A sloppy route-runner like Demaryius Thomas probably wouldn’t have been the fantasy superstar he is now had he shown up in Indy during Manning’s hey-day, but with today’s Peyton Manning, he’s doing serious work. On that note, the TE-heavy approach Manning used during his Colts tenure has gone out the window. Those intermediate passes have mostly headed Thomas’ way, rendering the Denver TEs useless in fantasy. With that said, there really is no point into waiting around for Tamme any longer. Manning has now played at a high level for a few games in a row, and he’s done it without any help from his TEs. Tamme is still a quality player, but without a larger role in the offense, he makes little sense as even roster depth in fantasy leagues. Cut him.


About Starbonell

Starbonell is the co-founder of Sons of Roto and one of the most insightful and colorful fantasy analysts in the game. Mixing intelligent and well-researched advice with an entertaining style of writing that is easy to digest, Starbonell is the king of info-tainment.