Johnson staying healthy? You must be Joshing
Photo Credit: UCinternational
Diehard players know that among all the fantasy sports, baseball is the true test of an owner's skill and dedication. Whether it’s the long season, huge player pool or myriad of stats to pore through, fantasy baseball rewards knowledge and preparation. Some of the most difficult things to prepare for are injuries, and the more knowledge you have, the better prepared you will be. Injuries WILL play a major role in the success of real and fantasy teams alike.
Not all injuries are created equal. Knowing which players are worth the risk can pay huge dividends on draft day. As a practicing physical therapist with extensive experience in orthopedic rehabilitation (and a fellow fantasy nutjob), I have the skill-set to steer you in the right direction. I’ll be discussing a number of players with injury concerns entering the season and whether or not I “trust” them to stay healthy and/or produce at expected levels. Basically, will you get what you pay for on draft day? Players I don’t trust get a spot on Don’s Do Not Trust List (DDNTL). If there’s a player I didn’t address that you want to read about, feel free to email me (firstname.lastname@example.org) or leave a comment. I’m here for you.
All ADP data courtesy of MockDraftCentral.com (MDC) and rankings courtesy of Yahoo! default ranks, current as of this writing.
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You don’t need me to tell you that you simply can’t trust Josh Johnson; he’s got a permanent place on the DDNTL. If you are going to gamble on JJ, however, this might be the year to do it. Johnson struggled over his sixteen starts last season and dealt with forearm issues that eventually ended his season. After undergoing surgery this offseason to remove bone spurs in his pitching elbow, which is a relatively minor procedure, JJ enters the season healthy (by his standards) and has a one-year deal with San Diego to try to resurrect his career. Prior to last season’s debacle, Johnson had posted elite stats whenever he was healthy enough to take the mound. With his elbow issues resolved (for now) and pitching in friendly Petco, I like his chances for a bounce back campaign. Currently drafted as the 87th SP (roughly pick 282), the possible reward is well worth the modest investment. Johnson is one of those players that makes my list but is worth drafting at a reduced rate; I personally will be targeting JJ late in all my drafts, and should he start the season well, I’ll be looking to sell before his arm falls off.